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How Much Will Sea Level
Rise
When The Ice Melts?
Investigation by Daniel Brockman
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The Martini Hypothesis
The sea level will not rise as much as predicted
because the water will spread out as it rises, for
the same reason that the 2nd olive added to a martini
raises the level of the liquid less than the 1st.
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"...the ice thickness in the Arctic will be zero"
"...the bottom line is if we extend this trend in the ice
volume, we have melted 30% or 33% of ice in 5 years ...
so the next 10 years will be enough to actually remove it
... if we go to 2013, the ice thickness, the mean ice
thickness, in the Arctic will be zero. I'm not predicting.
I'm just saying that if this trend continues, that's what
possibly might happen ..."
-- Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgraduate School
ARCUS: Arctic Forum 2004 The Rate and Causes
of Arctic Sea Ice Melt
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Sea Level will rise 70 meters (230 feet)
"Global sea level is currently rising as a result of ocean
thermal expansion and glacier melt, both caused by recent
increases in global mean temperature. Antarctica and
Greenland, the world's largest ice sheets, make up the vast
majority of the Earth's ice. If these ice sheets melted
entirely, sea level would rise by more than 70 meters."
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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
- The Technical Summary (p.28) presents scenarios in which
sea level rises up to 95 cm (3 feet, 1 inch) by 2100.
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- Sea levels will continue to rise for millenia after
CO2 emissions peak.
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- According to the full report,
sea level will rise about 5 mm/yr on average, with a
range of 2 to 9 mm/yr, rising about 38 cm by 2080.
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Additional Resources
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Sierra Nevada, California
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Mountains of the Moon, Africa
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